--Jeff Weintraub
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Beat the Press:
Dean Baker's commentary on economic reporting
January 27, 2008
Why Would Presidents Envy Bad Growth?
The NYT had a piece today on President Bush's economic legacy. In the second sentence it tells readers that:
"Mr. Bush has spent years presiding over an economic climate of growth that would be the envy of most presidents." adding that "Yet much to the consternation of his political advisers, he has had trouble getting credit for it, in large part because Americans were consumed by the war in Iraq."Is that right? Let's check the numbers. Here the ranking of the presidential terms since 1960 by average annual GDP growth:
Kennedy-Johnson -- 5.2%
Clinton -- 3.6%
Reagan -- 3.4%
Carter -- 3.4%
Nixon-Ford -- 2.7%
Bush II --2.6%
Bush I --1.9%
President Bush's growth record is better than his father's, but it is worse than the record of every other president in the last half century. It's not clear why they would be envious. It is also not clear what his political advisers have to complain about. [....]